Sunday, June 30, 2013

THE CONTENDERS RATING SCALE IN THE ITALIAN SERIE A: Its Effectiveness at a Glance







Just Before the Season Began:

 

 The 2012/13 Italian Seria A season rounded off in great style, as once upon a time relegated team, Juventus, clinched their second Serie A title since returning to the Italian top flight in the 2007/08 football year following their relegation to Serie B in the Calciopoli scandal which shook the Serie A in the 2005/06 season. 

 

This work is centred on evaluating the effectiveness of the Contenders Rating Scale -

http://taiwokehinde-mymind.blogspot.com/2012/08/the-20122013-football-season-contenders.html the Italian Serie A. But it is pertinent to note that with the 2012/13 Italian Serie A season starting on August 25, 2012, courtesy the Contenders Rating Scale (CRS), a projection was made on the final table placement (Serie A), precisely October 27, 2012 which was long before the season came to a close on May 19, 2013.


 

By the Contenders Rating Scale (CRS) I mean the manner through which the selection of the teams expected to have a top 5 finish, in no particular order, in the major football leagues across Europe is made. The CRS further posits that of all 5 teams predicted, 4 would have a top 5 finish, but in some cases (especially the German bundesliga), 3 and not 4 of the 5 teams emerged was anticipated to make the cut of top 5 season finish. Simply put, the Contenders Rating Scale is a mathematical approach to predicting the top 5 placed teams at the end of the football season.  

 

Once again, for an in-depth understanding of the CRS concept, please follow the link - http://taiwokehinde-mymind.blogspot.com/2012/08/the-20122013-football-season-contenders.html

 

Through the CRS, it was projected that at least 4 of Juventus, Inter Milan, AS Roma, Milan and Udinese would have a top 5 finish. - http://taiwokehinde-mymind.blogspot.com/2012/10/the-20122013-football-season-italian.html

 

But unlike the effectiveness of the English Premier League and Spanish La Liga (Which predicted 4 of the top 5 placed teams), the Contenders Rating Scale in the Italian Serie A was partly effective, thus predicting only 3 teams, as against the initially expected 4. That noted, with the season rounding off on Sunday, May 18, 2013, the three teams to have a top 5 finish are Juventus, AC Milan and Udinese, while Inter Milan and Roma which failed to make the list, finished in 6th and 7th place respectively. This closeness to the CRS placement indeed makes Contenders Rating Scale an efficient tool in predicting the teams to have a top 5 finish in the leagues across Europe.  

 

Below is a tabular summary of the Italian Serie A CRS and the final table outcome...

 



 

(As earlier stressed, please note that prediction of the CSR is not in any particular order) 

 

With this achieved, please check this blog in the last week of July for the 2013/14 SERIE A season top 5 predictions, courtesy the Contenders Rating Scale.

 

The End

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