Saturday, January 5, 2013

THE CONTENDERS RATING SCALE: HOW EFFECTIVE IS IT?



THE YARDSTICK

With half the number of matches played or slightly above in the major leagues of the beautiful game played across Europe, it is high time we measured the effectiveness of the Contenders Rating Scale (CRS) by Taiwo, Kehinde Oluwaseyi. 

No doubt, with me on board to analyse the projection put forward by him, courtesy this brainy approach to being a final top 5 club placement clairvoyant in each of the leagues in view, my job is to realistically measure why the Contenders Rating Scale is effective or perhaps the contrary.
Remember, in the CRS, he had the French Ligue 1, English Premier League, Spanish La Liga, Italian Serie A and the German Bundesliga analysed and these would be treated by me in no specific order.

So y’all should get yourselves fastened to your seatbelts as I take you through a safe drive in analysing these leagues…  

I am your football analyst diva, Anita Agbakoba…

 

                  THE FRENCH LIGUE 1 CRS

  
In the French ligue 1 Contenders Rating Scale published on September 11, 2012, at the start of the French Ligue, it was projected that the top 5 teams at the end of the French ligue 1 will be Paris Saint Germaine (PSG), Lyon, Marseille, Lille and Bordeaux.
 
Remember that the purpose of this work is to measure the level of effectiveness of the CRS with regards to the French Ligue 1 at the end of the season. 

With 19 matches played and the same number left to conclude the 2012/13 Ligue 1 season, it is paramount we have an analysis of how the abovementioned five teams have fared so far to further project why they still have a chance of effectively measuring the CRS. 

These said, so far, the French Ligue has Paris Saint Germaine (PSG), Lyon and Marseille making the cut in 1st, 2nd and 3rd positions respectively but Lille and Bordeaux have failed to make the cut. In this regards, Lille and Bordeaux are in 8th and 7th position respectively with 29 points apiece.

It is however paramount to point out that the current placement of Lille and Bordeaux in 8th and 7th position still have them having a significant chance of having a top 5 league placement. This is due to the fact that 4th and 5th placed teams namely, Stade Rennes and Lorient have so far garnered 32 and 31 points, thus 3 and 2 points above both Bordeaux and Lille.

These analysed, please do remember that from the earlier mentioned 5 teams that are expected to have a top 5 finish, at least 4 will make the final cut and a possibility of all 5 making it.

Will the CRS be an effective way of projecting the top 5 teams at the end of the season, the end of the season will perfectly answer the question. 

 
       
                     THE SPANISH LA LIGA   CRS
 

 Just how effective is the Spanish La Liga Contenders Rating Scale (CRS) at predicting the final contenders for the Spanish League at the end of this season? In the Spanish La Liga Contenders posted at the start of season and published on October 27, 2012, it was projected that the top 5 teams at the end of the Spanish 

La Liga will be
1.      Barcelona
2.      Real Madrid
3.      Atletico Madrid
4.      Valencia
5.      Sevilla FC

 Well in the event of the Winter break, with 17 matches played and 21 left to go, this article aims at examining the level of effectiveness of the CRS at achieving this projection at the end of the season. Thus far, the La Liga has the following teams in its top five: Barcelona, Atletico Madrid, Real Madrid, Malaga, and Real Betis (in that order) with Valencia and Sevilla (losing out to Malaga and Real Betis) and landing in 9th and 14th place respectively with the former currently having 24points and the latter 19points.

With 21 games left to play when the season resumes, there is still a reasonable chance of Valencia and Sevilla FC making it to the top 5 league placement since the teams currently holding their projected spots i.e. Malaga and Real Bentis have 31 and 28 points respectively and are therefore 7 and 9 points above Valencia and Sevilla.

With this said, we can deduce from this little analysis that at least 4 (if not all) of the projected 5 teams will make it to the final 5 on the league table and this therefore makes the CRS an effective way of projecting the final league table placement across Europe.


 
           THE GERMAN BUNDESLIGA CRS   





At the start of the German league season, the following was the projection for the eventual top 5 contenders:

1.      Bayern Munich
2.      Borussia Dortmund
3.      Shalke 04
4.      Werder Bremen
5.      VBF Stuggart

With 17 matches already played and the same number left to conclude the 2012/13 Bundesliga, the current top 5 teams on the league table are: Bayern Munich, Bayer Leverkusen, Borussia Dortmund, Eintracht Frankfurt and SC Freiburg.  The projected teams that are currently not among the first 5 on the league table include Shalke 04(7th position), Stuggart (9th position) and Werder Brumen (12th position). Shalke 04 and Stuttgart with 25 points apiece are currently 1 point behind SC Freiburg, the fifth placed team, while Werder Bremen with 22 points is 4 points off Freiburg.

From the brief analysis, one can deduce that all the proposed teams still have strong chances of ending up as the final 5 contenders on the Bundesliga league table since 17 matches are yet to be played and the margin between the current top 5 contenders and the proposed top 5 contenders is not so wide. Once again, the CRS has proved to be effective enough to project yet another final football league table placement in European.  







                        THE ITALIAN SERIE A CRS   





The projected top 5 teams at the end of the Italian Serie A are:
1.      Juventus
2.      Inter Milan
3.      AS Roma
4.      AC Milan
5.      Udinese

After 18 matches with 20 yet to be played, the top 5 teams on the league table include:

1.      Juventus
2.      Lazio
3.      Fiorentina
4.      Inter Milan
5.      Napoli

Projected top 5 teams; AS Roma, AC Milan and Udinese are currently in 6th , 7th and 10th  place respectively with 32, 27 and 24 points apiece. However, with 20 more games to be played it wouldn’t be surprising for things turn in their favor since just 3, 8 and 10 points separate these teams from the top 5. It may be a bit harder for Udinese to catch up but for AS Roma it would just be a matter of time. 

From this projection using the Contenders rating Scale, at least we can say that 4 (if not all) out of the 5 teams projected for the final league table placement in the Italian Serie A will make the top 5 teams at the end of the season. Once again the CRS has proved effective for final league table placement.

 

THE ENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUE (EPL) CRS


                                                                           
Now here comes a league we are all very familiar with, the EPL. After 21 matches, the league table currently has its first 5 teams as:

1.      Manchester United
2.      Manchester City
3.      Tottenham Hotspur
4.      Chelsea
5.      Everton

The projected final contenders table is as follows:
1.      Arsenal
2.      Manchester United
3.      Manchester City
4.      Chelsea
5.      Liverpool

With 17 more matches to go, the Red Devil’s currently enjoying a comfortable lead with 52 points and Mancini’s men following closely behind with 45 points, it seems quite unlikely that the likes of Arsenal and Liverpool at 6th and 8th position with 34 and 31 points respectively can make their way to the final 5 contenders at the end of the season. The two teams will need 3 and 5 points respectively to break into and possibly remain in the top 5 league placement by the end of the season. With 18 and 17 matches left to be decided for the former and latter, this may be possible.
The Contenders Rating Scale (CRS) has proven once again to be quite effective in determining which teams make it to the final football league table placement across Europe. The CRS may serve as an effective guide to determining the final contenders of any of the abovementioned leagues, but as they say, this is football and anything can happen so, Expect Anything!!!

NB: To have a preview of the Contenders Rating Scale, please follow each link in the introduction to this work.

I hope y'all were taken through a smooth drive, added to getting spellbound on my perception of the Contenders Rating Scale (CRS), and of course, the beautiful game.

Thank you!!!



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